Ukraine Crisis in Transition

UkraineThe violence and chaos that swept through Ukraine has captured the attention of the international media. Depending on who one listens to, the protesters are standing up for democracy, or they are violent insurrectionists. However, there might be a light at the end of this tunnel. The problems in Ukraine might be nearing an end. At the very least the Ukraine crisis is about to enter a transition period.

It has been reported that Ukraine’s parliament has decided that elections for a new prime minister will be held in May. In the meantime, the parliament will appoint a temporary prime minister. Hopefully, tempers can be cooled down before the coming elections.

Although Ukraine has an opportunity to put an end to the violence, the future is still very much uncertain. It is sometimes difficult for an outsider to determine whether or not another country will be better off after a regime change. It is likely that not everyone will be happy with the outcome of the future elections. Plus there is still the potential for chaos until the elections take place. While the unrest might be coming to a close, there is certainly no guarantee. It is possible that the Ukraine situation is simply in a transition period.

Ukraine’s President, Viktor Yanukovych is still alive and well. As expected, he is none too happy about the recent turn of events. Yanukovych sees the current situation as a coup and said that he does not plan to resign. Whether he intends to back up his words remains to be seen.

Regardless, the situation in Ukraine extremely delicate at this time. If Yanukovych will not abide by the parliament’s decision, he would possibly need to be removed by force. At this point, the crisis could escalate from violent protests into all-out civil war.

Ukraine’s president is not the only one who is concerned about recent events. According to a Washington Post article, leaders of the territory of Crimea have talked about using this opportunity to break off from Ukraine.

Perhaps, assuming it does not trigger a massive war, breaking into smaller pieces could actually be good for Ukraine. Smaller, less centralized government is generally better. In Crimea’s case, it is already very closely associated with Russia.

Of course, the problem is that splits like these are often not peaceful at all. The history of the United States is evidence enough of that.

The situation in Ukraine is very finely balanced. If Yanukovych eventually decides to comply with the parliament’s wishes, then perhaps there is a chance at peace. If not, there is at least the possibility of an all-out civil war. The real danger is that the violence could escalate beyond Ukraine, since Russia has a vested interest in the country.

Many Americans might be of the mind that this situation does not affect them. However, if the United States tries to involve itself directly in Ukraine’s problems, it risks being drawn into a larger conflict. America would do well to stay as far away from this situation as possible.

The Ukraine crisis is in a transition period. An era of relative peace for the country might be on the horizon. On the other hand, the unrest and uncertainty could lead to more serious violence.

Editorial By Zach Kirkman

The Washington Post
The New York Times

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