Captain America: The Winter Soldier, despite losing a narrow battle in the early Friday US domestic box office estimates, appears to have rallied back, and grounded Rio 2 in the current weekend box office results. In what turned out to be surprising news, Captain America: The Winter Soldier now leads the weekend box office estimates with $41.3 million. Rio 2 is currently behind at approximately $39 million. Friday projections suggested Rio 2 would likely come in first, but with weekend box office results, momentum can shift differently in a movie’s favor very quickly. If the results hold up for Captain America: The Winter Soldier, the sequel will have still made the No. 1 box office slot, after going through a 56 percent drop from the film’s first weekend. Actual results are usually released on Monday afternoon.
A Deadline report suggests Captain America: The Winter Soldier ultimately edged out Rio 2 for the weekend due to strong weather across the US. As a result, families, the primary demographic for Rio 2, opted to participate with some outdoor activities. The remaining presence of other family movies in theaters, Muppets Most Wanted and Mr. Peabody & Sherman, could have also had a detrimental affect on Rio 2′s total.
A 56 percent second weekend drop at the US box office is actually encouraging news for Captain America: The Winter Soldier. It’s predecessor, Captain America: The First Avenger, actually fell 61 percent in its second weekend. Comic book superhero movies are usually very front-loaded at the box office, so a drop of over 50 percent is to usually be expected. Additionally, the film now sits on a global box office total of $476.1 million worldwide. Captain America: The Winter Soldier will soon pass the $500 million mark worldwide, and it’s outpacing of the worldwide box office total for Captain America: The First Avenger is continuing at a strong pace for the sequel.
Even though Captain America: The Winter Soldier grounded the flight of Rio 2 in the current weekend box office results, there are some encouraging items 20th Century Fox and Blue Sky Studios can examine to take the sting out of the news. The first Rio opened to similar results in 2011 and went on to become very profitable, going on to about $143.6 million domestically and $484 million worldwide. Rio 2 also received an average audience rating of an A from Cinemascore, so that tends to bode well for a film’s box office staying power.
Another new movie released this weekend was Draft Day, from Lionsgate Films, which is currently estimated to have made only $9.75 million this weekend. The sports-themed drama is estimated to finish with under $10 million, which isn’t a good sign. Draft Day will likely finish in the No. 4 slot for the weekend. The new Relativity Media horror film Oculus is likely to finish in third place with an estimate of about $12 million, which is a fairly decent opening.
Returning films at the weekend box office showed some resilience. Divergent dropped only about 56 percent this weekend with an estimate of $7.5 million. Divergent has gone on to make $124.8 million domestically and about $175 million globally. Noah dropped over 56 percent in its third weekend, but the biblical epic tallied in an additional estimated $7.45 million for a US domestic total of $84.8 million. The movie has some ways to go in order to break even of its reported $125 million budget, but Noah appears as if the film will easily cross $100 million at the domestic box office soon.
Since there is usually a margin of error with weekend box office results on Sunday to the final ones on Monday, Deadline reports that Captain America: The Winter Soldier is expected to still finish No. 1 after Sunday, with about $40.5 to $41.4 million. So by Monday, the news of Captain America: The Winter Soldier grounding Rio 2 for this weekend’s box office results will more than likely remain consistent.
By Jeffrey Harris