FIFA World Cup: Group G Scenarios For Advancement to Knockout

FIFA World Cup

There are 209 possible scenarios in Group G for advancement to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup. It is one of a few groups where all four teams still have a chance for advancement out of the group. The United States and Germany are both level on four points with Germany ahead on goal difference, while Portugal and Ghana both have one point with Ghana ahead on goal difference as well.

The United States could advance out the group with a win, draw or even possibly a loss against Germany on Thursday. A win would mean they are top of the group with seven points and face the second place team from group H. A draw would leave them in second place behind Germany, both teams having five points, but Germany still ahead on goal difference. The American’s would therefore play the first place team from Group H. A loss by a goal or two and results going the American’s way in the other game, Ghana versus Portugal, would also leave the United States in second place.

The two games kick off at 12pm Eastern Standard Time between the two leaders of Group G and the two trailing teams. Jurgen Klinsmann, the coach for the United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) has already ruled out striker Jozy Altidore for the match, but hopes the Sunderland forward will return later in the FIFA World Cup. Germany have stated that they must play cautiously and make sure they avoid defeat against an American team that will be looking to continue their exceptional run in the tournament.

Jose Mourinho has spoken out about the German team while he is the ambassador for global football for Yahoo, saying Bastien Schweinsteiger should be started in central midfield and Philipp Lahm placed back in his traditional role of a fullback for the game against the Americans. Lahm had been introduced into a defensive midfield role by Bayern Munich coach Pepe Gourdiola earlier this year, and Joachim Lowe the German coach, has also fielded the player there in both games of the tournament thus far. Mourinho believes Lahm has the ability to exploit an opponent on the wings with overlapping runs from defense, while Schweinsteiger can dictate play better centrally and has the attacking thrust that Lahm can lack.

The possible scenarios in Group G for advancement to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup becomes more complex if the USMNT loses and Ghana or Portugal wins in their simultaneously played game. Ghana has a better chance of going through because they only have a minus one goal difference, while Portugal in contrast, have a minus four goal differential because of their first game loss to Germany. Therefore, the USMNT will be routing for a Portugal win by one or two goals for them to have a more likely chance for advancement, in case they cannot get a result against the Germans. A tie between Ghana and Portugal would send both the Germans and the Americans through to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup regardless of the result in the other game.

Ghana has recently been linked to match fixing of friendlies before the World Cup, but the president of the Ghanaian Football Association has denied the claims. The Black Stars have a tough game against Portugal to get out of the group and become the first African team so far the tournament to do so, after the Ivory Coast was knocked out earlier today, in which a late Greek penalty kick eliminated the Elephants. Portugal on the other hand, will feel that they have had a poor World Cup performance due to their devastating opening game loss to the Germans. Even with the heroic late equalizing goal against the USMNT on Sunday the team must feel like fate is not on their side to advance. On a side note, the USA versus Portugal game set a record for viewership across the United States with an average 24.7 million viewers on Univision and ESPN accord to the Nielson Company who measures television ratings.

The number of possible scenarios to happen in the group is numbered at 209 according a report by USA Today. Of those, there are six occasions that would lead to a coin toss between the United States and Portugal. There are no scenarios where the USMNT and Ghana would go to a coin toss because the Americans hold the advantage of beating the Black Stars earlier in the tournament. The sheer number of possible scenarios out of Group G and for advancement to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup is daunting, but many just hope for two good matches between some of the best teams in the tournament. Sadly two of them will be going home.

Commentary by B. Taylor Rash

Sources:
ESPN 1
ESPN 2
USA Today
FiveThirtyEight

9 Responses to "FIFA World Cup: Group G Scenarios For Advancement to Knockout"

  1. mottorspeed sam gathon   June 26, 2014 at 8:52 am

    Algeria is in AFRICA . So Ghana is not the only African team left in the world cup. read your geography and do a research before you post things.

    Reply
  2. Goooo Oranje   June 25, 2014 at 4:41 pm

    “The Black Stars have a tough game against Portugal to get out of the group and become the first African team so far the tournament to do so….” uhm what Continent do Nigeria come from?

    It’ll be nice to see USA go through, but strange not to see Portugal in final 16. But then again it’s equally odd not to have Spain and Italy in the final 16 either.

    Reply
    • Taylor Rash   June 25, 2014 at 4:56 pm

      The article was written yesterday before Nigeria was through.

      Reply
  3. mmtanner   June 25, 2014 at 1:25 pm

    “A tie between Ghana and Portugal would send both the Germans and the Americans through to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup regardless of the result in the other game.”

    Ghana and Portugal IS the other game.

    Reply
    • Taylor Rash   June 25, 2014 at 4:55 pm

      In that sentence the other game is referring to Germany America

      Reply
      • Goooo Oranje   June 26, 2014 at 6:04 pm

        Hi Taylor,

        Yes I did note the time stamp to being just prior to Nigeria Groups final matches being played.
        However Ghana group final matches are post Nigeria’s Group and statistically Nigeria always had a better chance to qualify for final 16 than Ghana……yet your sentence strongly implies that Ghana were the only African team left that could Qualify. This is what motivated me in making the comment.
        It may not of been your intent to emit other potential qualifying African teams but nonetheless it is extremely easy for any reader to interpret your statement to as such.
        Apart from geographical mistake please take heart in the fact I thoroughly enjoyed reading your article and appreciate the effort you made to write this up.

        Reply
  4. Kun Kim   June 25, 2014 at 8:40 am

    I was thinking the same!
    I also think there could be a secret agreement between Klinsman and the German friends.

    Reply
  5. mamaunchhu   June 25, 2014 at 8:32 am

    I could not stop laughing reading 25-25 / 30-30 score records.

    Reply
  6. glenn greene   June 25, 2014 at 6:21 am

    The US and Germany should shake hands and agree on a draw.
    Then they can let all their best players rest and play without goalies. A final score of 25-25 or 30-30 could set new records for
    fans watching football replays.

    Reply

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