David Cameron may just keep his seat in Westminster and remain the UK Prime Minister, but it may not be for long. There are many who believe that the UK General Election will lead to a poor, minority government for the Conservative Party, making it difficult for any laws to pass through and decisions to be made.
The last six weeks have been full of campaigning for all the political parties. There have been a number of debates on the TV, with the main political leaders getting a chance to appear this time. IN 2010, the first public debate only involved the three main party leaders—Gordon Brown for Labour, the Conservatives’ Cameron and Liberal Democrats’ Nick Clegg.
Voters take to the polling stations today to have their say, and it could lead to a minority government for the Conservatives. However, the opinion polls put Labour in a very close second and sometimes in first. If the Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) get the majority of the seats in Scotland, it could mean that together with Labour they could create a majority government. Ed Milliband may have said that he would not do a deal with the SNP, but things could change on Friday morning.
If the two can work together to create a majority, Cameron may have to step down as he would not hold a majority. That could change if the Liberal Democrats do well enough for another coalition between the two parties.
It is certainly going to be a tight result on Friday morning. Jack Blumenau, a political scientist, says that there is a 97 percent chance that there will be a hung parliament. This is when there is no overall majority, and was seen at the last election in 2010. For a hung parliament to succeed it requires deals, backings and coalitions with other parties.
The general public, including Cameron and Milliband, will not know the final result until the next morning. Even then, it is likely that some of the larger constituencies will not finish counting until later on during the day. In 2010, it was the afternoon that people finally found out the full election results. It then took days of deliberation and negotiation to work out a coalition government.
While much of the six weeks of campaigning has been about who will work with whom, the messages today have gone back the policies. This was something Nigel Farage from the UK Independence Party wanted to see. Cameron and other party leaders have taken to social media to get their party policies across.
The SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon has been praised on social media for taking control and showing her authority in leader debates, both in Scotland and nationally. While she will not be standing for a seat in Westminster, she remains the head of the party and in the Scottish Parliament as Scotland’s First Minister. Former First Minister Alex Salmond is standing for a seat in Westminster and is expected to win it. She wants voters to choose her to give Scotland the loudest voice it has ever had in Westminster.
With smaller parties becoming more mainstream, it could cause problems for the larger parties. It could mean no majority within the House of Commons. While Cameron may remain Prime Minister on Friday, there are many questioning how long he will hold it after that.
By Alexandria Ingham
Photo by Flickr License