Over the last ten years, the East Coast has undergone some devastating hurricane seasons, which have caused a great amount of damage. Recently, the 2015 forecast of the Atlantic Hurricane Season has been released, and the East Coast has received good news from the predictions. The 2015 hurricane season has been predicted to be very mild. Though, the National Oceanic Atmospheric Association (NOAA) can not say the same for the West Coast.
El Nino is said to be the reason why this year’s hurricane season is being suppressed. The hurricane season has already begun in some parts of the east with high winds and rain, but it usually does not start until June 1st, and it normally lasts until November 30th. According to NOAA, there is a 70 percent chance that 11 storms will occur throughout the season. Winds will be at least 39 mph, and scientists have stated that three to six out of the 11 storms will turn into hurricanes. Two of the storms will be Category hurricanes of the three, four, and five range, with winds getting up to 111 mph.
The East Coast continues to receive good news from the 2015 forecast of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, since it will continue to remain below normal. Predictions that have been made are from previous forecasts, which have always followed the week before the start of the season.
However, Tropical Ana started the season early this month in North Carolina which brought in lots of rain to Virginia and South Carolina, but no damage has been reported. Mike Halpert, the head of the Prediction Center of National Weather Service’s Climate, stated in March the El Nino that has been predicted is going to happen later within the season, and it is going to be very weak. Recently, an email sent from scientists Philip Klotzenbach and William Gray, from the University of Colorado, stated they also expect the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season to be one of the weakest. Below is the list of hurricane names that will take place in the Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2015.
El Nino is known as a climate cyclic phenomenon, which includes the atmosphere and ocean. The NOAA is able to determine when an El Nino occurs, due to its signature mark of sea surfaces becoming warmer than usual.
NOAA does not want East Coasters to believe that an Atlantic Hurricane Season below normal means they can enjoy a hot summer. Meteorologists claim that people must keep in mind that lower than normal seasons are also known to lead to disastrous events. For example, in 1992, there was a report of a below-normal hurricane season, but the first storm that formed was a Category 5, and it destroyed south Florida. According to NOAA, the last couple of years have been quiet; however, it is still a different story for the Eastern and Central Pacific.
The NOAA has predicted the Eastern Pacific will have a 70 percent possibility of experiencing an above-normal season. A range of 15-22 storms are predicted to occur in the Eastern Pacific region, and 12 of those 15 storms are said to turn into hurricanes, but five to eight out of the total amount of storms are likely to be tropical depressions. In the Central Pacific, the association predicted the same percentage amount of 70, and a hurricane season above normal with a ratio of five to eight cyclones. The East Coast receiving good news from the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast, still gives high hopes of less major Category hurricanes to occur.
By Krystle Mitchell
CBS News: What to expect in 2015 NOAA hurricane forecast
ABC Action News: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast released by officials
Artemis: Atlantic Hurricane Season 2015
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