Donald Trump’s rating was falling, and polling in both California and Wisconsin showed it may be weaker than expected. According to Vice News, Trump was expected to suffer a huge loss in the Wis. primary, and a poll in Calif. showed voters had “extremely negative” views about him. Wis. voters revealed their allegiance last Tuesday, April 5, 2016. Calif. holds their Republican primary on June 7, giving his campaign a chance to turn things around.
Recent events have been detrimental to the businessman’s campaign over the last few weeks. First, Corey Lewandowski, the campaign manager, was charged with battery for grabbing a female reporter at a Fla. rally. Then, Trump’s stance on abortion came under question. He stated that women should be punished for having abortions when the procedure becomes illegal.
The businessman also said that John Kasich should drop out of the race. He said Kasich did not have a shot at the GOP nomination. Speaking at a rally in Wis., he told the crowd, “If I didn’t have Kasich, I automatically win.” He alleged the Ohio Governer was taking votes that should have been his.
The New York businessman still has a commanding lead over his fellow nominees. In order to secure the nomination, Republican candidates need to receive at least 1,237 delegates. Currently, Trump leads with 735, followed by Ted Cruz, who has 461 and Kasich coming it last with 143.
If none of the candidates can reach the number of delegates before the Republican convention in July, the party will choose a candidate to represent them. GOP activists are at odds with the flamboyant businessman, and if he does not receive the delegates needed, he could lose the nomination.
Leading into the Wis. primary, Trump’s campaign appears weaker as it had fallen in the polls. Wis. is a predominately caucasian, blue-collar state in the Midwest. Traditionally, these demographics have been where the businessman was most successful, but Wis. was different. Marquette Law School conducted a poll before the primary. The results showed the real estate tycoon had a 70 percent disapproval rating among Wis. voters. It also revealed only 24 percent of women support him. The poll was conducted before the recent events of Lewandowski and Trump’s statements about abortion.
What support he did have came from small pockets in the rural north and western parts of the state. Vice News reported these areas are largely uneducated and lower-class families. He failed to garner any following from highly populated areas of the state.
In fact, the New York businessman was so unpopular, movements had sprouted up against him. A local talk-radio host, named Charlie Sykes, is the leader of the “Stop Trump” movement. He has spent months trying to defame the real estate tycoon. According to the New York Times, in Wis., talk-radio culture is big. Sykes, as well as other talk-radio hosts in the state, spend their segments castigating the businessman on the airwaves.
In an interview conducted during a commercial break, Sykes said, “Can someone win without talk-radio? Yes, theoretically. Except no one has.”
The real estate tycoon did not win. In fact, the results of the Wis. primary showed Cruz taking the state with 48 percent, the businessman with 34, followed by Kasich at 14 percent.
Calif. is another important state if the businessman wants to receive the 1,237 delegates. The state has 172 delegates from California’s 52 Congressional Districts. SurveyUSA polled state voters. The survey found 50 percent of registered voters had an “extremely negative” view of the businessmen. Yet Trump still leads with 40 percent. Cruz came in second with 32 and Kasich with 17 percent.
The election clock keeps ticking, and as the nation comes closer to the Republican convention, each delegate becomes more important. Donald Trump’s ratings seem to have fallen in the polls. If he cannot secure the 1,237 delegates he needs to gain the nomination, it will be decided by the convention. He did not win Wisconsin, and there is still a lot of time until the California primary. If his campaign keeps fumbling, he might lose the nomination.
By Harrison Baker
ABC News: DONALD TRUMP STILL LEADS TED CRUZ IN CALIFORNIA DESPITE NEGATIVE VIEWS, POLL SHOWS
BBC News: Donald Trump urges John Kasich to quit White House race
CNN: Cruz, Trump look to block Kasich at convention
New York Times: 6 Talk Radio Hosts, on a Mission to Stop Trump in Wisconsin
Vice News: Donald Trump’s Anti-Establishment Anger Might Backfire in Wisconsin
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