Arctic Ice Cap Growing at Tremendous Rate

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Six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic, due to global warming, would be ice-free by this summer. That, clearly, has not happened. What has happened, instead, is that the Arctic ice cap has grown at a tremendous rate, by almost a million square miles. In other words, it has grown by a whopping 60%, due to constantly repeating periodic ocean cycles.

What explains the rapid growth of the Arctic ice cap?

The Arctic summer has been a chillier than usual one, which has helped the ice cap rebound from its record low just a year ago in 2012.

This is the time of the year when the fall refreeze of the ice occurs, but already, an ice sheet that is over half the size of Europe extends between the Canadian Islands to the northern shores of Russia.

Pack-ice has blocked the Northwest Passage the entire year. Over 20 yachts that had planned to traverse it haven’t been able to, as they’ve been left ice-bound. Some of the yachts are stuck at the passage’s eastern end located in Prince Regent Inlet. The other yachts are stuck at Cape Bathurst, further to the west.

Icebreakers, according to shipping experts, of the Canadian coastguard are probably the only way these yachts can be freed from the ice.  One cruise ship which tried to make it through had to give up its attempt due to the ice blocking the passage.

Now, instead of scientists being concerned about global warming, some believe that the Earth is entering into a cooling period that might not end until possibly 2050 or so.

Their has been, according to The Mail, a “pause” in global warming that started in the year 1997. Computer models did not or could not predict this pause and the cooling trend that has now begun.

Then, in March, The Mail reported the world-wide temperature drop that was going to occur,  that is going  on today.

Because of predictions by scientists of global warming, billions of dollars have been diverted to implement “green” measures.

If these predictions are flawed, as they now appear to be, the money that has been spent on these green measures has potentially actually increased the rate of the cooling trend that the world is going through today.

Professor Peter Wadhams, an expert at Cambridge University, said of global warming “This is not a cycle; not just a fluctuation. In the end, it will all just melt away quite suddenly.”

This rapid change in the world’s climate caused the climate change body of the UN to call a crisis meeting.

The Fifth Assessment Report of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was supposed to be published this October, but documents which have been linked indicate that governments of the countries which fund and support the IPCC want there to be over 1,500 changes made, as the three-volume report doesn’t explain the global pause.

Two  questions need to be answered, the first one being how high the temperatures will increase  along with the rising carbon dioxide levels; the second being how much of the global warming has been caused by the natural variability compared to human greenhouse emissions.

According to Professor Judith Curry “it’s now clear that the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide.”

Other contributing factors that should have been taken more into account, she says, are long-term cycles in the temperatures of the world’s oceans. These suggested that the Earth might be entering into a period like that from 1965-1975, when the world cooled to such an extent that some scientists declared an ice age was imminent.

One professor who did not neglect to investigate the way that ocean cycles influence climate was Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin. According to Tsonis:

We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.

“The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.”

Despite being confronted by evidence to the contrary, the IPCC still has as one of its main tenets that the Arctic ice is going to disappear.

Evidence has been uncovered by climate historians about a massive ice melt in the decades of the 1920s and 30s, after which were periods of intense re-freezes. But, the IPCC seems content to ignore such evidence.

The continued spread of the Arctic ice cap at such a tremendous rate seems to indicate that the contribution humans have made to global warming, while not beneficial for the environment, is not as crucial to the Earth’s climate as is the nature of repeating ocean cycles.

 

Written by: Douglas Cobb

Source 1

45 Responses to Arctic Ice Cap Growing at Tremendous Rate

  1. firefly12mal March 28, 2014 at 11:41 am

    The plain truth is; Climate change is a lot more complex than the government (of whatever country you are in) or the IPCC understands. Their models only take into account the things they want to take into account and ignore things that are inconvenient. How long have the IPCC actually been studying this issue? 20 years? 30 years? Have they considered the last several million? How do they know this isn’t part of a normal process? Computers can only give results based on the information you give them. If you give the computer model flawed or incomplete information it will give you a flawed or incomplete result. Tell it what you want the result to be and bingo, global warming. Someone is getting very rich of all the taxes that are being collected, but is it doing any good? Is it even possible to correct an issue that may or may not be humans fault? Keep asking questions. Keep searching.

    Reply
  2. Edward Coulter March 12, 2014 at 7:54 pm

    And youknwo how long it took to create the universe etc.? It sure did not happen by itself. Complexity is beyond imagining. I am interested in what’s going on but am not concerned. Why are you? What difference does it make? Typically, declining arctic ice means increasing antarctic ice and that’s what I read is happening. So what?

    A warmer earth would be far more productive biologically according to studies of super ancient times when huge amounts of carbon accumulated as coal. And BTW why did carbon build up, why did it not rot as usual? There is so much we don’t know yet blithely think that a little CO2 is a disaster in the making? CO2 is a minor greenhouse gas and yet is the focus of all the fuss. Water vapour is the big one. And nobody criticise my spelling of vapour, I’m Canadian. Find another word instead, I’m bound to make a few spelling mistakes.

    Reply
  3. Sean February 27, 2014 at 1:57 pm

    It is very hard to take seriously any article written by a purported news organisation where the distinction between “there” and their” is missed. It leads one to question where else corners are being cut.

    Reply
  4. Roth Hafer February 22, 2014 at 8:18 am

    Will the bloviators and deniers kindly take a look at http://www.climatecentral.org/news/arctic-sea-ice-sits-at-record-low-for-mid-february-17093 ?

    Of course evidence doesn’t matter to those who believe the universe was created in six days and the earth is only 6,000 years old.

    Reply
  5. Roth Hafer February 20, 2014 at 7:21 am

    Does anyone actually LOOK at current evidence?http://www.climatecentral.org/news/arctic-sea-ice-sits-at-record-low-for-mid-february-17093

    Reply
  6. Roth Hafer February 17, 2014 at 6:03 pm

    If one would look at Milankovich cycles of about 26,000 years apart, they would have some idea of the spread and melt of the glaciers.According to those we should be cooling! How come the arctic ice cap is no longer shrinking at a ‘record rate’? If one is ‘sensitive about CO2 levels, one might look at the release of methane in the arctic regions. This is happening irrespective one’s paranoia about taxation.

    Reply
  7. Jake February 17, 2014 at 4:03 am

    If anyone thinks man can control the weather by spending a few billion they are simply wrong. To the climate folks please tell me what melted the glacier that covered the USA and 70% of France. Please tell me how buildings we are finding off the coast of some areas of the world in 60 feet of water were build. The truth I see are 1. the earth has been warming for millions of years. 2. the climate model is way too sensitive to CO2 and other factors are not included in the model making it accurate only for the CO2 folks.3. There is a driving force behind the warming issue and its tied to tax revenue and the new world order.

    Reply
  8. Roth Hafer February 13, 2014 at 5:06 pm

    Anyone care to look at http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ and still say that the Arctic Ice Cap is still growing at a record rate?

    Reply
  9. Rick B February 12, 2014 at 7:44 pm

    Its the sun!!
    The sun determines our climate!
    You do not need a PHD in earth climate control to understand the our solar system.
    You do need a PHD in bull to convince every one it requires Billion of dollars to keep the earth from being destroyed by global warming.

    Reply
  10. Rick B January 5, 2014 at 4:59 pm

    The sun heats the earth. The air is cooled by the absence of heat from the sun which rate of cooling is determined by too many factors to predict the overall long term temperature trend. Unless of course, it is in your more profitable interest to convince everyone the earth will burn up without contributions to support those who will support the greenhouse effects.
    Whoever dares to claim he or she can predict long trends of heating or cooling of the earth has to be at the very least, suspect. and more likely devious.

    Reply
  11. Roth Hafer December 27, 2013 at 11:10 am

    For those in deep denial about climate change, this link is instructive: http://www.climatecentral.org/blogs/top-11-indicators-of-a-warming-world-interactive-style-16522

    Reply
  12. Jake December 26, 2013 at 7:40 pm

    Al Gore and Geoerge Soros were set to make billions with the scam they called global warming with their chaicago climate exchange., I ask the same questions the global warming now global climate change boys seem to ignore. What melted the ice that covered the USA and what melted the ice that covered 70% of France. Even if there is global warming there is no proof a few hundred ppm of CO2 is the cause. None. That;s why their models keep comming up wrong. If the model was correct all of this would have been predicted. When the politics of taxing CO2 is removed them maybe the IPCC will be a legitimate organization. I think the bottom line is you can’t tax sunlite but you can tax CO2. They currently pump fresh water from under the desert in the mideast. This water is deposited every 20000 years or so when the mideast turns into an oasis due to the NATURAL climate cycles. People have taken the climate issue as a religion. A belief without proof. They cannot prove why the ice melts and returns.

    Reply
  13. Roth Hafer December 23, 2013 at 6:51 pm

    Anyone care to look at the extent of the current refreeze? Seems pretty close to last years refreeze: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

    Reply
  14. nejking November 3, 2013 at 5:51 am

    In the 8th paragraph, it should be “There has been” and NOT “Their has been”. Otherwise, great article.

    Reply
  15. Roth Hafer October 26, 2013 at 7:16 pm

    So why is the refreezing slowing down? http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

    Reply
    • Edward Coulter October 28, 2013 at 12:25 pm

      From the perspective of research Engineering Scientist:
      Freezing has to slow and eventually stop when all is frozen. Then you can say freezing has slowed so much it has ceased, at least in area but it can continue to freeze to form thicker ice. Then the global warmers can jump for joy and truthfully say the Arctic ocean is not freezing anymore. Not warming either though.

      I am all for warming though, so I must be a really more horrible person than a denier since I actually wish for warmer weather. I don’t believe the imagined negative consequences ascribed to a warmer world. Serious warming would benefit mankind greatly by opening millions of square miles to habitation that are presently frozen solid year round. The scare mongerers just make up problems to panic people into opening their wallets to the crooks who promise to stop them from frying.

      If the ocean does rise a little, some people may find they have to move inland. Since on average, about 1 in 7 Canadian families move every year, this is no big deal. So in a couple of hundred years from now everybody could be moved. Oh, that’s right, they will already be dead and buried before they ever knew there might be a problem. Anyway it is not likely to ever become warm enough to be truly useful especially since there is no sign of warming in the last 17 years.

      Reply
  16. Douglas Cobb October 26, 2013 at 5:59 pm

    All I can tell you, Edward, with any certainty, is that both sides of the issue look at the “evidence” from different perspectives. It could be that the seeming growth of the ice cap does nothing to negate the concept which many scientists and people believe, that the Earth is in a period of global warming, in large part due to the actions, factories, cars, etc. of humans. Maybe the Daily Mail and other sources are presenting an inaccurate view of the apparent evidence. I suppose that time will tell…..

    Reply
  17. Edward coulter October 26, 2013 at 5:15 pm

    It’s been 17 years of no warming. I suspect Yoda would have a different reply to that!

    Reply
  18. Edward Coulter October 26, 2013 at 5:11 pm

    Despite the fact that fresh water freezes at a higher temperature IE. O°C than salt water at about -2°C, where is the proof that a thin layer of melted ice water stayed on the surface for most of a year before refreezing? Sure fresh water is a little less dense, but wind, wave tide, current and upwellings of deep salty water, can overcome that fairly quickly if the layer is not deep thus mixing with the rest of the salt water. A fresh water layer could not be too deep anyway if you take the alarmists point of view that the ice had thinned drastically in years previous. Melted thin ice would leave a layer of thin fresh water if it did not mix, which is unlikely. Anyway the change in surface area of new ice is so great that this issue is a pityfully inadequate response to supposed global warming. The best measure of changing ice quantity would be ice volume which includes all ice not just new ice. I don’t know what that volume is although the info may be available from real measurements, not another guess by all the faulty models. Do you know?

    Reply
  19. Roth Hafer October 26, 2013 at 8:11 am

    Apparently it has excaped notice that the record melt preceeding the ‘record’ refreeze, released a LOT of fresh water that refreezes at a higher temp than salt water. Please note that the refreeze is ‘slowing down as the cover of ice acts an an insulating blanket.

    Reply
  20. Edward Coulter September 23, 2013 at 5:00 am

    I’m dissapointed in the great regrowth of Arctic sea ice. Can not wait any longer for some real progress in increasing global temperature. Many millions of square miles of this earth are uselessly and very unpleasantly cold.

    Reply
  21. Conrad Nicoll September 17, 2013 at 7:12 am

    “One season does not a climate trend make” — Yoda

    Reply
  22. Night Raider September 16, 2013 at 6:43 pm

    The growth of sea ice that this article refers to as 60% is quite misleading. It is focusing on the extent of sea ice coverage but not the total depth of the ice which tells you what volume of ice is there. The volume is still shrinking.

    Reply
  23. Ian Lidbury (@IanDEALidbury) September 13, 2013 at 12:51 am

    I don’t know where to start with this. I gave up reading after the first paragraph. This is simply incorrect. It has not grown by 60%. What does that even mean? It is in a state of melt so how can it grow. It doesn’t start expanding until now or the next few days! Yes, there is more ice than last year, but the extent of sea ice is still far below the average for 1980-2010 and even further below the average for 1979-2000. The last seven years have all been the lowest level of summer sea ice on record! I AM SURE IT IS NOT GROWING!

    Reply
    • Jake December 26, 2013 at 7:43 pm

      You really think a period of 30 years is a long enough window to draw a trend on the climate change? Seriously? Where does the Glacier melting fit in? Was there people using fossil fuels then?

      Reply
  24. Endoxa52 September 12, 2013 at 7:33 am

    Mankind has an affect on pollution…no doubt. But climate change is completely out of our control. People such as Algore and green energy companies that support Democrats, have been made millionaires by duping the people.

    Reply
  25. joanne September 11, 2013 at 3:58 pm

    I’m from northern Ontario, Canada. and this summer was really cold and wet and we had snow at the beginning of June. I’m not sure but I think global warming is not looking to spend time around hour cold zone’s although it would be welcome after the extremely long winter we had.

    Reply
  26. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 9:23 am

    Some eminent journalism experts say that David Rose is a serial liar, in the pay of the GWPF. The latest scam he pulls off with the help of his fellow tribe member Judith Curry is easily debunked by Dana Nuccitelli on his Guardian blog. As always, Rose’s propaganda is full of holes and lies by omission, and I wouldn’t even have bothered to write this short blog post if it weren’t for this gem:

    The continuing furore caused by The Mail on Sunday’s revelations – which will now be amplified by the return of the Arctic ice sheet – has forced the UN’s climate change body to hold a crisis meeting.
    http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/09/ipcc-crisis-meeting.html

    Hint :
    No one is holding a crisis meeting . But Rose and his rag have made this same claim before.

    Reply
  27. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 8:59 am

    ” Then, in March, The Mail reported the world-wide temperature drop that was going to occur, that is going on today.”

    New Zealand has warmest winter on record

    “Scientists said on Tuesday that the South Pacific nation had its warmest winter since record-keeping began more than a century ago.

    The average nationwide temperature was 9.5C (49.1F) for June, July and August, about 1.2C above average and 0.3C above the previous record set in 1984, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research said. Record-keeping began in 1909.
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/03/new-zealand-warmest-winter-record

    Reply
  28. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 8:39 am

    ” Then, in March, The Mail reported the world-wide temperature drop that was going to occur, that is going on today.”

    Australia has warmest year on record: BoM
    The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) announced on Tuesday that Australians have experienced the hottest 12-months on record, with a host of historical highs toppled.
    “The warmth has extended to the oceans around Australia with widespread record warmth,” the BoM said in a statement.
    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/australia-has-warmest-year-on-record-bom/story-fni0xqi4-1226710010303

    Reply
  29. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 8:21 am

    South Pole experiences more record heat in August to end warmest winter ever

    Last month was the warmest August on record for the South Pole, ending a winter that will go down as the mildest ever since record-keeping began in 1957.
    Read more at http://scienceblog.com/66290/south-pole-experiences-more-record-heat-in-august-to-end-warmest-winter-ever/#sKSEVmpkMcl6Mow6.99

    Reply
  30. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 8:14 am

    ” Then, in March, The Mail reported the world-wide temperature drop that was going to occur, that is going on today.”

    South Pole experiences more record heat in August to end warmest winter ever
    Read more at http://scienceblog.com/66290/south-pole-experiences-more-record-heat-in-august-to-end-warmest-winter-ever/#8vpFUgRTOx2PAeEg.99

    Reply
  31. Colorado Bob September 10, 2013 at 8:10 am

    ‘Irresponsible reporting’?

    On Monday, the lead scientist at the NSIDC, based at the University of Colorado in Boulder, blasted the articles on Monday for “playing games” with world opinion.

    “It was very irresponsible reporting on their part,” said Ted Scambos, a glaciologist with the ice center. “They know what they’re saying and how they are saying it, and to say what they said they had to cherry pick facts.”

    Scambos said the Arctic this summer was 2 to 3 degrees cooler than average, and the extent of sea ice in August was a “big increase” for a year-to-year jump. The sea ice was about the size of four Alaskas, at 2.35 million square miles, a 45 percent increase from the same time last year.

    But that’s about the same size of sea-ice coverage in August 2009, which turned out to be one of the lowest years on record, Scambos said.

    It was nothing close to the years before 2002. In fact, the sea-ice extent in August remained nearly 400,000 square miles less than the average between 1981 and 2010, with an amount of ice the size of Columbia in South America missing.

    After record low years, some scientists expected an improvement this year, Scambos said.

    The newspapers engaged in a very “poor level of communication” about what’s happening, Scambos said. “You’d have to have a very unusual perspective to describe things the way they did and it’s clear they do have that different perspective,” Scambos said.

    Moreover, the Mail miscalculated the numbers, saying sea ice had grown by 60 percent year to year, Scambos said. In fact, it’s been a 45 percent increase since 2012 — still significant but quite different than what was reported, Scambos said.

    Cherry picking?
    http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130909/global-cooling-london-newspapers-having-row-over-climate-change-arctic

    Reply
  32. Douglas Cobb September 9, 2013 at 10:08 pm

    Have you read the source article? Or, other articles on this subject? It is at least as well written, or poorly written, depending on your point of view, as any other articles on the subject.

    Reply
  33. Fred Voetsch September 9, 2013 at 9:52 pm

    What a poorly written, unfocused article.

    Reply

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