Six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic, due to global warming, would be ice-free by this summer. That, clearly, has not happened. What has happened, instead, is that the Arctic ice cap has grown at a tremendous rate, by almost a million square miles. In other words, it has grown by a whopping 60%, due to constantly repeating periodic ocean cycles.
What explains the rapid growth of the Arctic ice cap?
The Arctic summer has been a chillier than usual one, which has helped the ice cap rebound from its record low just a year ago in 2012.
This is the time of the year when the fall refreeze of the ice occurs, but already, an ice sheet that is over half the size of Europe extends between the Canadian Islands to the northern shores of Russia.
Pack-ice has blocked the Northwest Passage the entire year. Over 20 yachts that had planned to traverse it haven’t been able to, as they’ve been left ice-bound. Some of the yachts are stuck at the passage’s eastern end located in Prince Regent Inlet. The other yachts are stuck at Cape Bathurst, further to the west.
Icebreakers, according to shipping experts, of the Canadian coastguard are probably the only way these yachts can be freed from the ice. One cruise ship which tried to make it through had to give up its attempt due to the ice blocking the passage.
Now, instead of scientists being concerned about global warming, some believe that the Earth is entering into a cooling period that might not end until possibly 2050 or so.
Their has been, according to The Mail, a “pause” in global warming that started in the year 1997. Computer models did not or could not predict this pause and the cooling trend that has now begun.
Then, in March, The Mail reported the world-wide temperature drop that was going to occur, that is going on today.
Because of predictions by scientists of global warming, billions of dollars have been diverted to implement “green” measures.
If these predictions are flawed, as they now appear to be, the money that has been spent on these green measures has potentially actually increased the rate of the cooling trend that the world is going through today.
Professor Peter Wadhams, an expert at Cambridge University, said of global warming “This is not a cycle; not just a fluctuation. In the end, it will all just melt away quite suddenly.”
This rapid change in the world’s climate caused the climate change body of the UN to call a crisis meeting.
The Fifth Assessment Report of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was supposed to be published this October, but documents which have been linked indicate that governments of the countries which fund and support the IPCC want there to be over 1,500 changes made, as the three-volume report doesn’t explain the global pause.
Two questions need to be answered, the first one being how high the temperatures will increase along with the rising carbon dioxide levels; the second being how much of the global warming has been caused by the natural variability compared to human greenhouse emissions.
According to Professor Judith Curry “it’s now clear that the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide.”
Other contributing factors that should have been taken more into account, she says, are long-term cycles in the temperatures of the world’s oceans. These suggested that the Earth might be entering into a period like that from 1965-1975, when the world cooled to such an extent that some scientists declared an ice age was imminent.
One professor who did not neglect to investigate the way that ocean cycles influence climate was Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin. According to Tsonis:
We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.
“The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.”
Despite being confronted by evidence to the contrary, the IPCC still has as one of its main tenets that the Arctic ice is going to disappear.
Evidence has been uncovered by climate historians about a massive ice melt in the decades of the 1920s and 30s, after which were periods of intense re-freezes. But, the IPCC seems content to ignore such evidence.
The continued spread of the Arctic ice cap at such a tremendous rate seems to indicate that the contribution humans have made to global warming, while not beneficial for the environment, is not as crucial to the Earth’s climate as is the nature of repeating ocean cycles.
Written by: Douglas Cobb