Hillary Clinton Wins in Iowa

Iowa poll

In a poll released today, Hillary Clinton would defeat all opponents in the significant state of Iowa.

Is it too early to begin discussions about the 2016 Presidential election?  Maybe, but at least three Republicans have already begun their run for the White House, and one of them is not pretending otherwise.

The two expected Democratic candidates, Hillary Clinton and Vice-President Joe Biden, have not declared their intentions.  However, Clinton is staying in the public eye attending speaking engagements, and Biden has been courting Democratic hierarchy in “all the right states”.

While Republicans Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan have offered no overtures regarding their future plans, the TEA Party candidate, Rand Paul, is not hiding his intentions.  From the publicity stunt he called a filibuster, to ensuring that he speaks on camera about every large or small issue in the news, he is politicking.

1,411 Iowa voters were polled by phone.  The Quinnipiac University poll showed Clinton would defeat Rubio by 11 percentage points, 48% to 37%, if the election were held today and would beat Paul by four percentage points, 46% to 42%.

She received the strongest support from female voters, once again displaying the growing political fervor of single women in the nation.

In the same poll, Biden did not fare as well.  He fell behind Rubio by one percentage point, 39% to 40%, and trailed Paul by five percentage points, 39% to 44%, among Hawkeye State voters. He was hurt by his lack of support among independent voters.

Iowa is a swing state, and is often indicative of the national results.

In 2008, President Obama was victorious over both Clinton and Biden in the Iowa Caucuses, and went on to win the state in the general election in both 2008, and 2012.  Bill Clinton carried the Hawkeye state in both of his elections.

There has been much speculation about Hillary Clinton’s future.  She has been encouraged by several prominent Democrats to seek the 2016 nomination, but has remained noncommittal.

Some believe that her resignation from her position as Secretary of State was necessary to focus on the future, and to devote all of her time and energy towards 2016.

Disassociating herself from the present administration may also be a wise move politically.  If the President’s final four years leave him with a low approval rating, she will not have been part of the ‘team’.  However, if Mr. Obama leaves office with a high approval rating, she may receive uplifting marks for assisting in the President’s success.

For now, the discussion is like looking into a crystal ball.  But one fact that may have been a little surprising, was a poll taken after the Benghazi hearings.

Ms. Clinton accepted full blame for the tragedy that happened in Libya while she was head of the department.  After Republicans attempted to take the issue and make it a full blown scandal, polls showed her high popularity remained intact.

Ms. Clinton already has the support of two Super PACs.

James Turnage

The Guardian Express

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