Religion to Disappear By 2041 Claims New Study

Religion to Disappear By 2038 Claims New Study

Author and noted biopsychologist Nigel Barber has completed a new study that shows Atheism is most prevalent in developed countries, and, according to his projections, religion will completely disappear by 2041. His findings are discussed in his new book “Why Atheism Will Replace Religion.” A new study that clarifies his earlier research will be published in August. His findings focus on studying trends within countries around the world and the fact that “Atheists are heavily concentrated in economically developed countries”-

In my new study of 137 countries (1), I also found that atheism increases for countries with a well-developed welfare state (as indexed by high taxation rates). Moreover, countries with a more equal distribution of income had more atheists. My study improved on earlier research by taking account of whether a country is mostly Moslem (where atheism is criminalized) or formerly Communist (where religion was suppressed) and accounted for three-quarters of country differences in atheism.

His main thesis stems from the phenomenon of religion declining as personal wealth increases. He cites the reason as people having less of a need for supernatural beliefs when the tangible, natural world is providing for their needs. He says the majority of the world will come to view religion as completely irrelevant by 2041.

Political Scientist Eric Kaufmann holds the opposite view, citing the fact that Atheists have fewer children than religious people. He thinks this could indicate the religious mindset will proliferate due to religious folks simply breeding more than Atheists. But what is the significance of the prolific breeding of religious people?

Biotechnologist Thomas Rees poses this question in his essay “Will the Religious Inherit the Earth?” In this piece, he discusses Kaufmann’s research and comes to the conclusion that the breeding aspect could tip the odds in favor of the religious purely due to fertility and childbearing rates among them.

Barber, however, dismisses the breeding-related evidence, saying “…Yet, noisy as they can be, such groups are tiny minorities of the global population and they will become even more marginalized as global prosperity increases and standards of living improve.”

He also says that as women become more integrated into the workforce, they will have fewer children, even if they are members of a religious fundamentalist group: “Moreover, as religious fundamentalists become economically integrated, young women go to work and produce smaller families, as is currently happening for Utah’s Mormons,” he says.

If a recent PEW study is any indication of a solid answer to the question, Kaufman may be correct. The study, performed by PEW in 2012, indicates a huge upswing in Atheism, with 20% of Americans now identifying as Agnostic, Atheist or “Unaffiliated” with a religion. This number represents the largest percentage of people in PEW’s history of polling who identify as non-religious.

It is clear that the growth of Atheism or “unaffiliated” people is growing at an incredibly rapid rate in the United States, but it seems that being non-religious is also exploding globally. The UK’s Daily Mail reported an extensive 2010 study that showed unaffiliated individuals as the “third largest global group” behind Christians and Muslims, placing the unaffiliated ahead of Hindus, Buddists, Jews and all other religious affliations.

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By: Rebecca Savastio

Source: Huffington Post

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201 Responses to Religion to Disappear By 2041 Claims New Study

  1. Charles B. December 5, 2013 at 7:45 am

    Eventually, humans will come to the end of their childhood, and all the fantasy creatures of that period will come to be known as products of our imagination. It happens with Santa, the Easter Bunny, the tooth fairy, and all the other characters of myth and legend- all of the gods in history have eventually come to nothing. Mankind will evolve past the need.

    • KC December 5, 2013 at 8:08 am

      Well stated. Let me go on to say… Christianity and other religions wouldn’t even exist had our EARLY ancestors understood meteorology and astrophysics.

  2. River November 7, 2013 at 1:17 pm

    Eric Kaufmann hypothesis does not make any sense, most of our predecessors did come from a religious background and CAN give birth to children who turn out to be atheists. I for one was raised in a religious family, taught Sunday school, sang in church choir all of that stuff, yet when I became an adult I realized that was not my belief, I only did what my parents asked of me. I gave my kids a choice I had 3, I married a religious man, had my kids went to church and I let them formulate their own belief system. They are all atheist. So my friend. I just multiplied myself by 3 what do you think of that. He is full of BS.

  3. qilin November 7, 2013 at 11:41 am

    Jolly good news, isn’t it? We’ve only to manage that all people in the world are provided for their needs naturally by 2041, then they don’t need supernatural consolation any more.
    And if they still should do so, it doesn’t matter that much. Having their needs fulfilled, they can wait for the great, noble goal a trifle longer…

  4. Jack November 6, 2013 at 12:38 pm

    While I do see religion eventually disappearing, I think 2041 is way too soon. Especially in places like the U.S. and much of the Middle East.

  5. Eoin August 22, 2013 at 6:30 pm

    I think forcing children into specific religious belief is inhumane and barbaric. I’m constantly amazed that religious people strip their children of informed decision making and free choice, just to justify their own fantastical beliefs! Are you so scared that your intelligent children will realise religion is myth that you deem it necessary to brainwash them when they are unable to defend themselves? Shocking self justification and narrowmindedness.

    • Mejece October 1, 2013 at 12:29 am

      You know, when you point one finger, there’s three pointing back at you. :)

      • Eoin October 1, 2013 at 4:08 pm

        Sigh, if the best you can do in this discussion is quote cliches, it’s obvious you don’t have any valid points to add. Perhaps I should lay down some overused cliches, oh wait I actually have a point to make…. Honestly it’s a discussion not some 2 bit sermon where cliches and vagueness are proffered rather than intelligent conversation. Nice job being brainwashed there lady…..

        • Russ December 4, 2013 at 8:10 am

          Being brainwashed from childhood can be a hard thing to overcome for some people like Mejece

      • MM November 4, 2013 at 8:41 pm

        I’m glad syllogisms are your choice of logic

  6. Appolus GMT August 21, 2013 at 9:33 pm

    There is God. I believe sorely in His supremacy and the evidence is seen everywhere even in this article! By the special grace of God almighty I will live beyond 2041 and I’ll remain be a Christian. My off-spring shall bear the light of the gospel – so, the disappearance of Christianity is mere speculation probably informed by the level of moral decadence in our day but there remains a remnant. I and my family will not only believe, work for but also worship God whose name is Jehovah.

    • Dan Arboscelli September 2, 2013 at 12:02 am

      Maybe your offspring will receive a better education and will not necessarily feel the need to believe in magic to answer some questions. Just like the majority of people no longer believes that sacrifices or other rituals are needed for the Sun to give more heat or make the days last longer, or for the rain to come, because they know that the seasons and weather are not influenced by it. Picking a random set of instructions and ignoring a random set of others ( for example, I believe the Leviticus says “Neither shall a garment mingled of linen and woollen come upon thee.”, do you stick to that? ) from books written thousands of years ago by people with a much smaller understanding of how things work can’t go on forever, as educated people spot contradictions and lack of sense. That doesn’t necessarily mean that spirituality will decrease, it is just that fewer and fewer people ( hopefully ) will stop believing that they are being constantly judged by magic entities created with all the human flaws and beliefs of the time they were conceived in.

      • Nicholas Sgherzi September 6, 2013 at 1:01 am

        “as educated people spot contradictions and lack of sense”

        Educated…Are these so called “educated” folks the same types who continue to believe the lies the’re Government tells them and continues to participate in useless dog and pony show elections while continuing to elect every idiot politician?

        Yeah, they look educated to me…and they surely can spot lack of sense considering they don’t have any sense themselves.

        Sorry, I needed a good laugh.

        • Larry September 6, 2013 at 11:03 am

          AAARGH! It’s a basic rule: if you’re engaged in a written argument about intelligence, DO NOT make errors in either spelling or grammar!!!

          • Nicholas Sgherzi September 9, 2013 at 9:23 pm

            Again, completely avoiding the points made. This is typical when you have no other point to argue.

            • Dan Arboscelli September 9, 2013 at 10:12 pm

              Is “having no other point to argue” the reason why you talked about politics in the reply to my post, when I solely mentioned that knowledge of how the environment around us work reduces the need to believe without questioning the existence of entities nobody ever saw or heard?

              • Dan Arboscelli September 9, 2013 at 10:24 pm

                “… environment around us workS reduces …” :)

    • Barry October 29, 2013 at 9:38 am

      She said Jahovah! Stone her!!

  7. Yousif Namat Behnam Abu Al Soof August 14, 2013 at 10:29 am

    Athiesm is wrong, God Bless all believers.

    • KC Green August 14, 2013 at 12:19 pm


    • Larry September 6, 2013 at 11:04 am

      Can’t argue with that logic.

      • Russ December 4, 2013 at 8:12 am

        If I can’t understand it, it must be god logic is hard to argue with….lol.

  8. captorsfree July 30, 2013 at 1:35 pm

    Charles Taylor, author of “A Secular Age,” writes that “bad arguments . . . leave out so many viable possibilities between fundamentalism and atheism” (2007, p.4). It is interesting that most of the comments offered in response to Barber’s book fall into that category, i.e. “bad.” Whether religious or non-religious, theistic or atheistic, in matters related to God and the public sphere, perspectives tend toward the binary (either this OR that) with an unwillingness to entertain the possibility that a perspective beyond one’s own limited experience could have some, even if minimal, value. The vast majority of the comments I’ve come across seem to me neither informed nor constructive.

  9. Rusty Hutchins July 30, 2013 at 12:49 pm

    All religion is manmade. Do you think your dog prays to a god or your god? Well hell no! He lives, dies, thats it. No great heaven for him to go up to. IDIOTS. All religion is FAKE!

    • sifirdokuzkalemucu July 31, 2013 at 4:13 am

      Unless a dog does not have the capability to make a comment on religion, there is no heaven or hell for it.

      • Arquimedes Rodriguez July 31, 2013 at 9:39 pm

        Although, there are some false statements in a more less quantity in any religion, it is reckless to compare the rational human being with the more instinctive intelligent dogs…

  10. sifirdokuzkalemucu July 30, 2013 at 1:45 am

    This atheism-biased study interestingly justifys Islam. According to Islamic belief, when the doomsday comes, only the non-believers will be living on the earth.

  11. Dom July 29, 2013 at 12:35 pm

    Eric Kaufmann may forgets one thing: Science is evolving really fast and it is proposed that human will be able to cure “natural” death within the next 4 decades (at least have a youth that is longer than a few hundred years). The more wealthy, educated and possibly atheistic people will be able to afford this medicine. Religious people will most likely refuse this kind of medicine as it contradicts with their religious believes of an endless afterlife. Why should one need an afterlife, if he could practically have an endless this-life?
    We can be sure that religion will die out in favor of atheism in the next 100 years ;)

    • Arquimedes Rodriguez July 29, 2013 at 2:40 pm

      Please, be careful to affirm things that could occur about in the future, in science you cannot affirm or deny nothing, you specially find the truth, there is nothing realistic to support the idea of endless life of our material body, it is a matter of energy, the internal process of energy transformation inside our body are irreversible not conservative itself, so our body wear inexorable to his waste of their biological vital principles, it is a nature law and science is a tool from Nature not to ignore it, our body changes all his cells and systems in about 7 times during his life (average 74 years), after that the regeneration process it evolves very slow to nothing and our body cells die, the science is not evolving fast, technology is evolving fast, the science is evolving very slowly, was about 500 years ago that we were believing the earth was flat, our knowledge is 8 million years old behind the hominids start to grow in this planet, life without a body is a matter that science should explore not deny, you have a cell in your pocket and we have a spaceship in Saturn, these were impossible in the last century.

  12. Cathryn Paradise July 29, 2013 at 12:03 pm

    It is presumptuous to say such a thing since Roman Catholicism and Islam comprise over three billion followers. Christian-like religions comprise at least another billion.Pagans, Hidus and Buddhists at least another billion. We are supposed to believe that five billion people out of seven billion are going to change their minds in less than 30 years.

    • Arquimedes Rodriguez July 29, 2013 at 12:15 pm

      The last UN information total Christians sects sum 2,000 MM and Islam is about 1,300 MM of muslims, so they are about 3,300 MM of souls in earth, and the Christians are reducing about 3 % per year and some of them go to Islam, something to think about it

    • jim November 5, 2013 at 3:14 pm

      Christians and Muslims don’t take into account those who leave the fllock…for example, if baptized Catholic, you remain Catholic unless you petition the Vatican. And who dooes that?

  13. Natasha July 29, 2013 at 12:01 pm

    Never! Man will always look for a sense in life and won’t resort to the status of a clever monkey!

    I owe my living to God and only breath thanks to His grace. I come from an atheist ex-communist country in which we all return to God. No matter how hard the atheists try to impose they doctrine on free people, they will never succeed in controlling our hearts and minds.

    In the end, freedom wins over indoctrination. Even if you deny all their rights to the believers, as it is done today in many Western countries, we won’t fear anything because God is with us. Even in prison, or outcast from the rest of the society, we’ll remain faithful to our Creator.

    • knpoducH July 29, 2013 at 8:28 pm

      You are a nut job. Your attitude will help to make more atheists than anything I could say or do.

    • T.J. August 3, 2013 at 11:11 pm

      “Freedom wins over indoctrination.”

      Funny, seeing as how the majority of religious people are the product of childhood religious indoctrination. You crack me up, madam.

  14. saberamusavi July 29, 2013 at 9:35 am

    May be those man made religions will disapper,but Islam is here to stay.

    • Arquimedes Rodriguez July 29, 2013 at 12:21 pm

      You may want to hear only what you want to hear and not to understand the Universe, all religions were human made and the idea of God also, you are in your free right to think about God as you really want, but is a big fake to say that Islam was not made by humans!
      And the more important thing many Muslims call to the people that is not agree with their ideas: Infidel and they have a saint war against them, that is a God idea? or Whom?

  15. Gradivus July 29, 2013 at 8:19 am

    It’s more likely that that the “developed world” (where Atheism is most prevalent) will completely disappear by 2041. Fundamentalist Islam is spreading far, far faster than Atheism is.

  16. Bill July 29, 2013 at 7:44 am

    It is rather optimistic to believe that after thousands of years, Sharia will simply give way to “enlightenment” in the next 3 decades.

  17. Manjusri July 29, 2013 at 4:27 am

    To anyone who believes that belief in God is the problem, and not the other memes that surround said belief- and who thinks that they’re rational because they’re an atheist- I heartily recommend this (very long, seven part) essay- it will realign your perceptions:

    (Disclaimer: the author of the essay is an atheist and non-believer in the supernatural. The author of this comment is a non-religious deist who is agnostic on supernatural concerns.)

  18. David Ashton July 28, 2013 at 10:32 pm

    So religion is to blame for all the bad things? if it’s an invention, man invented it and will have his mark on it. Man will always find a way to express his nature….

    • Arquimedes Rodriguez July 30, 2013 at 10:25 am

      Do not stay at defensive, Religions of course were made by humans, the humans have freewill, they can construct or destroy… if religions are focused in construct a moral way to progress the mankind to a higher level of Love, progress and understanding sure they will prevail, but with ideas that are static in 4,000 years ago, how humans can find in them a solution to the mankind?

      • Olaf August 2, 2013 at 7:02 am

        “the humans have freewill” well .. this is something we can finaly start to discuss when religions do not matter any furter more. Can you have free will as an animal like humans are? Anyhthing the brain does/encouters is somehow limited to cause/effect even your thougts are as the brain doing the thinking is matter … so does this allow for a free will or not? Could the person have made another decision if everything in the universe (the tiniest parts making up matter and also energy inside an animals brain and the whole universe) would be exactly the same as in the situation the decision was made before?

        Enjoy the thougt experiment and consequences (for e.g. laws regarding violence) once people clinging to religion will not interfere and the scientific method might provide a most likely answer.

  19. Stan Baker (@angrystan) July 28, 2013 at 7:48 pm

    From your mouth to God’s ears … or something

  20. Kerensa ˚͜˚ B July 28, 2013 at 3:01 pm

    A wonderful thought for future generations. To be free of the stupid, over breeding sheeple and have a clean, free and enlightened planet.

  21. My Heathen Heart July 28, 2013 at 9:13 am

    It’s wonderful to know that I’m not alone in thinking the end of all religion approaches, although I’m not too sure how relevant breeding is in the greater scheme of things – kids grow up, think for themselves, rebel, and head in the opposite direction – that’s just the joy of life.

    Whatever the cause, I think the world will breathe an enormous sigh of sheer relief with the final death knell of religion. One can only imagine what global celebrations that will spark.

  22. David Ashton July 27, 2013 at 11:29 pm

    “Religion is a dead concept. God is worshiped by weak minded people looking for something to put faith in. People are raised from birth to believe in the bearded man in the sky. Step back and realize what religion really is. To me it’s a way to control lazy ppeople who desperately want to find Devine in the ordinary”

    This is such an arrogant and ignorant statement. Why don’t you ask the christians in China who get thrown in jail for believing in Christ? Do you think it’s weak minded to stand up to a dictatorship? Or the christians in India and other countries who die for what they believe?

    Christianity flourished under the the persecution of the Roman empire. Do you really think it’s simply going to disappear?

    • Kerensa ˚͜˚ B July 28, 2013 at 3:02 pm

      Personally, as a militant anti theist, I really don’t care about stupid people being removed from society. The sooner the better.

    • Atheist July 28, 2013 at 4:19 pm

      People diying for their believes is not a proof of strength, it’s just plain fanaticism, if that’s the argument we should think the world will become Muslim cause they have the biggest will to die for their religion, how many American Christians are willing to do so? Do you know how intense were the “roman persecution?”, wasn’t really Christians who expand their believes trough the world using the sword?, crusades, inquisition, “evangelization” in the American continent? History is written by the victors always putting them in the “finally wining martyr” position, people always remember the thousands dead in Pearl Harbor but forget easily the hundreds of thousands killed in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, same with Christianity, “we were persucuted in Rome, Bo, ho , ho…” (For less than 300 years, if so…) “and now we are put in jails in places we are not majority and can’t do that to others…” And forget that since Constantine became Christian your people has been after every single people who is different trough the western world… You think Christianity will last forever? So did the Romans, Egyptians, Vikings with their gods, try not to indoctrinate children and religion will perish in less than 2 generations…

  23. Jim Mira July 27, 2013 at 2:11 pm

    Religion is a dead concept. God is worshiped by weak minded people looking for something to put faith in. People are raised from birth to believe in the bearded man in the sky. Step back and realize what religion really is. To me it’s a way to control lazy ppeople who desperately want to find Devine in the ordinary

  24. Peter Appleby July 27, 2013 at 12:45 pm

    Religion will dissapear because we will all be dead! The Grand Democide, has already begun!

  25. Charles July 27, 2013 at 11:49 am

    So what I see here is a blind society that believes their money will keep them safe. I recently started studying the Bibles words and meanings understanding textually with comprehension and it somewhat surprises me that all the debaters and people against the Biblical word are oblivious to the fact that it simply keeps your mentality on 100. Corporations thriving is built on “belief” that people will “believe” in their products and deceptive advertising. With enough mental pattern research(spending habits,trending,market research) you can sell anything to anybody. Ask a top sales person..”I could sell ice to an Eskimo!”. This world should realize the purpose for money is to equate the trade value of someone else hard work in exchange for the goods they could not produce themselves.or best said barter system. and the battle for religion should be squashed and people should just have a deeper understanding of the True Laws of Nature.

  26. Clint (@ikillunicorns) July 27, 2013 at 10:02 am

    She has really beautiful eyes

  27. KC Green July 27, 2013 at 8:04 am

    If you were confronted with thunder & lightning, earthquakes, floods, forest fires and all the visible objects in the solar system… without the knowledge we have today… you would make things up to explain them… just like you did when you were a clueless child. Well, we have the knowledge today… and it continues to advance… so why are there still people who worship imaginary things?

    It seems the devoutly religious are more interested in being defiant, than looking at scientific evidence.

  28. Linda Lee July 27, 2013 at 6:52 am

    Well, he has a surprise coming then, because when economic collapse comes…and it will…many of those atheists will no longer have their wealth to depend upon. They will be forced to turn to “something” or “Someone”. He makes another grievous error as well, it’s not about “religion”….it’s about “relationship”…Relationship with God.

    • ej July 27, 2013 at 12:41 pm

      if god paid dividends we’d all be investors

  29. David Martin July 27, 2013 at 6:37 am

    This is not good news no matter how you cut it. It seems developed nations are descending into materialism- money & other symbols of wealth have become their new God. On the other hand, the “sheeple” are procreating like rabbits, ignorant of the effects that overpopulation is having on the balance of Nature, and unable or unwilling to examine their behavior. The Middle Path has apparently become the razor’s edge.

  30. Max Loh (@max_loh) July 27, 2013 at 12:57 am

    Religion will not disappear.

    Rather, it will evolve to become rational and full of good rather than pretension. Gone will be the claims of sin, prayer, afterlife duality, and divine intervention. Remaining will be the good parts of religion — the love for everyone, the oneness of the universe, the meditative feelings — the parts that everyone of all faiths (even atheism) can agree with

  31. Peter Jones July 26, 2013 at 1:20 pm

    Christianity was indeed largely created by the Romans, and the RC church formed a natural and very convenient successor to the military Roman Empire. I can’t help feeling this isn’t a coincidence.

    That said, Religion has been the inspiration for marvelous buildings, music, art. I do hope we don’t throw out the baby with the bath water.

  32. joseozorio July 26, 2013 at 12:44 pm

    It’s not impossible. Look at the huge leaps the human race has made in the fields of science, living standards and globalisation. If atheism can take off in Africa, India and South America; then his thesis could be proved valid.

  33. Yahoodi Khan July 26, 2013 at 8:50 am

    Ahhh….If only…In my opinion it is only wishful thinking…The virus of religions will most probably still be there in 2041

  34. John F. Michalski July 26, 2013 at 8:49 am

    Yes. And we’ll also all have flying cars by 1975.

  35. matt July 26, 2013 at 8:47 am

    Religion isnt going to die….your all in dream land…..go study and solve world hunger

  36. Marvin July 26, 2013 at 4:44 am

    Religion will die, because religion isnt worth more than a hill of beans. However Faith (belieth, hope, trust) in JESUS (The True and Living GOD) will never die: 1) HE’s not dead and never will die 2) HE still interacts with people (by touch, sight, sound, sub-conscious); even though it might not make it to for points. It is extremely difficult to convince someone that they did not have an supernatural encounter. For points [3, infinity] pls tune in to your local Bible believing church.

    • Luc July 26, 2013 at 8:35 am

      Jesus will die just like Zeus and Anubis.

      • Tom Savage July 26, 2013 at 12:33 pm

        Didn’t you mean like Hercules and Horus? As they were the Greek and Egyptian incarnations of Jesus, all three of they’re stories have similar aspects to them, it could actually be as if they were copied from a previous but then the one after the previous and then they added a newer story line onto it.

  37. ken July 25, 2013 at 6:17 pm

    Religion disappear?…it would rake an act if God.

    • Luc July 26, 2013 at 8:36 am

      Or lack thereof.

    • Albert July 26, 2013 at 12:51 pm

      That would take an act of congress.

  38. Bonnie July 25, 2013 at 1:49 pm

    I feel that this is perhaps a bit too optimistic, but it is promising nevertheless.

  39. Joshua July 25, 2013 at 11:02 am

    It’s important to differentiate between religion as spirituality. Spirituality – the self behind the ego, which is connected to all things (as in string theory and quantum mechanics) is not religion – and is also not necessarily atheism.

    Sometimes called ‘Pantheism’, it’s more a style of thinking than a religion. Modern day religions have largely become political factions, whereas spirituality – and a sense of plot in one’s own life, are only growing stronger in our modern society.


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