Tropical Cyclones Sandy transitions into terrifying super-storm heading for New Jersey coastline

As North America’s west coast is still shaking as a result of a large magnitude 7.7 earthquake and daunting tsunami, which fortunately did not rise to geologist predicted levels of danger, east coast residents are about to receive quite an unfriendly visit from Tropical Cyclone Sandy, which has transitioned into a terrifying unpredictable crossbreed; a kind of super-storm. Sandy is being energized not only by warm ocean water that fuels tropical cyclones, it is also intensifying and becoming more massive due to difference in air masses between cooler and drier air to the north and west and the very moist air mass to the south and east. And if that is not enough to cause panic, atmospheric energy from the jet stream that is steering Sandy is helping to intensify this monster storm. By the way, that’s exactly what jet streams do. You see, jet streams steer cyclonic storm systems at lower levels in the atmosphere, and so knowledge of their course has become an important part of weather forecasting.

These conditions mean that Sandy is a well-constructed built for maximum damage.

It would not be wise to just focus on the center of the tropical cyclone. The strongest winds may be far away from the center which is very different from a regular hurricane whose strongest winds are right around the eye-wall.

The other incredible thing about this storm is the fact that all computer models have the storm making a left turn bringing it into the New Jersey coastline. Power outages will be massive along with some structural damage due to the strong winds.

Coastal flooding, beach erosion, and flooding rains will be huge problems from the North Carolina coast up through New England.

Inland areas are going to experience damaging high winds and flooding. I just heard that the latest update has the pressure dropping to 951 millibars, which is an incredible barometric pressure.

For those in Hampton Roads, it is expected that the winds will be slowly increasing into Monday. Rainfall will be heavy at times. Coastal flooding will be an issue also.

It’s hard to say where the heaviest rain will be, but some areas may be seeing very heavy rainfall amounts.

It should now be clear, that we’re dealing with a very different kind of story with tendencies that make it somewhat unpredictable. In reality, it’s not merely a tropical storm or hurricane. Don’t get fixated on a particular track. Wherever it hits, the mammoth storm slowly moving up the East Coast will afflict a third of the country with sheets of rain, high winds and heavy snow, say officials who warned millions in coastal areas to get out of the way.

“We’re looking at impact of greater than 50 to 60 million people,” said Louis Uccellini, head of environmental prediction for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

As Hurricane Sandy trekked north from the Caribbean — where it left nearly five dozen dead — to meet two other powerful winter storms, experts said it didn’t matter how strong the storm was when it hit land: The rare crossbreed storm that follows will cause havoc over 800 miles from the East Coast to the Great Lakes.

Governors from North Carolina, where steady rains were whipped by gusting winds Saturday night, to Connecticut declared states of emergency. Delaware ordered mandatory evacuations for coastal communities by 8 p.m. Sunday.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who was criticized for not interrupting a vacation in Florida while a snowstorm pummeled the state in 2010, broke off campaigning for Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in North Carolina on Friday to return home.

“I can be as cynical as anyone,” said Christie, who declared a state of emergency Saturday. “But when the storm comes, if it’s as bad as they’re predicting, you’re going to wish you weren’t as cynical as you otherwise might have been.”

Eighty-five-year-old former sailor Ray Leonard agreed. And he knows to heed warnings.

Leonard and two crewmates in his 32-foot sailboat, Satori, rode out 1991’s infamous “perfect storm,” made famous by the Sebastian Junger best-selling book of the same name, before being plucked from the Atlantic off Martha’s Vineyard, Mass., by a Coast Guard helicopter.

“Don’t be rash,” Leonard said Saturday from his home in Fort Myers, Fla. “Because if this does hit, you’re going to lose all those little things you’ve spent the last 20 years feeling good about.”

Sandy weakened briefly to a tropical storm Saturday but was soon back up to Category 1 strength, packing 75 mph winds. It was about 260 miles (420 kilometers) south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C., and moving northeast at 13 mph as of 5 a.m. Sunday, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

The storm was expected to continue moving parallel to the Southeast coast most of the day and approach the coast of the mid-Atlantic states by Monday night, before reaching southern New England later in the week.

It was so big, however, and the convergence of the three storms so rare, that “we just can’t pinpoint who is going to get the worst of it,” said Rick Knabb, director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Officials are particularly worried about the possibility of subway flooding in New York City, said Uccellini, of NOAA.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo told the Metropolitan Transportation Authority to prepare to shut the city’s subways, buses and suburban trains. The city closed the subways before Hurricane Irene last year, and a Columbia University study predicted that an Irene surge just 1 foot higher would have paralyzed lower Manhattan.

Up and down the Eastern Seaboard and far inland, officials urged residents and businesses to prepare in ways big and small.

On Saturday evening, Amtrak began canceling train service to parts of the East Coast, including between Washington, D.C., and New York. Airlines started moving planes out of airports to avoid damage and adding Sunday flights out of New York and Washington in preparation for flight cancellations on Monday.

The Virginia National Guard was authorized to call up to 500 troops to active duty for debris removal and road-clearing, while homeowners stacked sandbags at their front doors in coastal towns.

“You never want to be too naive, but ultimately, it’s not in our hands anyway,” said Andrew Ferencsik, 31, as he purchased plywood and 2-by-4 lumber from a Home Depot in Lewes, Del.

Utility officials warned rains could saturate the ground, causing trees to topple into power lines, and told residents to prepare for several days at home without power.

President Barack Obama was monitoring the storm and working with state and locals governments to make sure they get the resources needed to prepare, administration officials said.

In North Carolina’s Outer Banks, a group of about 20 people was forced to wait out the storm on Portsmouth Island, a former fishing village that is now uninhabited and accessible only by private ferry.

“We tried to get off the island and the ferry service shut down on us,” said Bill Rowley, 49, of Rocky Mount, N.C.

Rowley said he could see 15-foot seas breaking over the island’s dunes, enough to bring water to the island’s interior. “We’ll be inundated and it’ll probably be worse tomorrow,” he said.

In New Jersey, hundreds of coastal residents started moving inland. Christie’s emergency declaration will force the shutdown of Atlantic City’s 12 casinos for only the fourth time in the 34-year history of legalized gambling here. City officials said they would begin evacuating the gambling hub’s 30,000 residents at noon Sunday, busing them to mainland shelters and schools.

The storm also forced the presidential campaign to juggle schedules. Romney scrapped plans to campaign Sunday in Virginia and switched his schedule for the day to Ohio.

First lady Michelle Obama canceled an appearance in New Hampshire for Tuesday, and Obama moved a planned Monday departure for Florida to Sunday night to beat the storm. He also canceled appearances in Northern Virginia on Monday and Colorado on Tuesday.

That’s it for now. Please be safe and monitor the local media and National Weather Service forecasts.

2 Responses to "Tropical Cyclones Sandy transitions into terrifying super-storm heading for New Jersey coastline"

  1. Q   October 28, 2012 at 5:29 pm

    I live in New York. The storm is supposed to officially hit here Monday morning and end Wednesday night. Economic disasters, natural disasters…. The world can’t take much more

    • Fraser Rolfe (@rephraser)   October 28, 2012 at 10:43 pm

      “The world” will be just fine. Things are looking a little sketchy for western industrialism, tho..


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