Ohio Is Unlikely to Vote for Donald Trump

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Ohio, one of the leading battleground states, is unlikely to vote for presidential nominee Donald Trump. The most current Real Clear Politics Consensus Poll shows there are 10 other battleground states in the 2016 election: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Among these states, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio have the most electoral votes. Consequently, they have been frequently visited by Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Since the primaries, the two presidential nominees have each visited the Buckeye state, 13 times. In fact, Trump has visited Ohio more than any other battleground state because it has fewer minorities. He has a large following in the state that is called Trump County by STAT News. His campaign commercial, which runs in 9 of the battleground states, compares his America to Clinton’s America.

Despite the following the candidate has in Brown County, Ohio, people are dying at a young age due to poor health conditions, its high suicide rate, and pervasive drug overdoses. The County Fair, in September, had booths that taught people how to administer a shot called Narcan, which could save a life from an opioid overdose.

Not far from Brown County is Scott County, Indiana, where Mike Pence is governor and more than 500 people are suffering from HIV or Hepatitis C. These people contracted the viruses through needle-sharing and are addicted to painkillers and heroin. Even the strongest Trump supporters do not have faith he will help them. They do not believe that either candidate will improve their health conditions.

A Scott County resident stated that regardless of who is elected, this situation will take 30 years to repair.

It has been 18 months since the HIV outbreak, and even though it has been the largest eruption in several years, the people are unable to gain the help necessary to survive. Brittany Combs, a Scott County public health nurse, told STAT that the sick people in Scott and Brown Counties have lost hope. They were hopeful when Trump announced, in July, that he would end the opioid epidemic. He also promised to strive to make a difference in other health related matters within their communities. Despite these promises, they have lost confidence in their presidential nominee.

This is a snapshot of Trump’s America. Addiction and poor health conditions are claiming lives across the nation. There are political analysts who believed that his early rise was traced to the poor and sick. People wanted a candidate that could bring their dying towns back to life.

These two counties, like many others, do not have enough financial support for the doctors and hospitals they need. The state of the economy has closed factories, which led to their inability to sustain hospitals. Tobacco farming has significantly dwindled causing the further loss of jobs.

Depression has caused these communities to break down, leaving children without planned activities. This has led to an increase in illegal drug use and suicides, problems that Trump promised to fix single-handedly. The most these people hope for now is a better economy, according to Brown County Health Commissioner Rusty Vermillion.

Many recovering addicts who have been in trouble with the law believe Trump would make their lives harder. Ohio resident and former drug abuser, Michael is homeless. His previous drug charges prevent him from receiving housing assistance, and he fears the Republican nominee will make it more difficult for him to continue treatment.

As of October 13, a survey from Baldwin Wallace Community Research Institute indicated that Trump is two points behind Clinton in Ohio. The third-party candidates, Jill Stein and Gary Johnson hold 13 percent of the voters and 10 percent are still unsure. The lead, held by the Democratic nominee, includes Independents and a tenth of the Republican voters.

Lauren Copeland, Ph.D., a professor of political science and associate director of the Baldwin Wallace Community Research Institute, reports Ohio is historically the trending leader among swing states. The poll indicated that Ohio residents are not happy with either of the primary candidates. Seventy-five percent of voters are more passionate about who they do not want for president and are choosing a third-party candidate.

The survey questioned if people’s opinions of the Republican and Democratic nominees had changed after the debate, on October 9. Over 30 percent stated that they had a more favorable opinion of Clinton, and 41 percent felt less favorable toward Trump. One-fifth of Ohio residents who watched the debate implied their preferred nominee had changed.

Politico reported that a candidate has not bounced back after falling more than four points behind a month before the election. In 1980, Ronald Reagan made an October comeback and won the election. He was only four points behind Jimmy Carter. On the national level, Trump is seven points behind Clinton.

By Jeanette Smith


U.S. News: Trump Is 9 Points Behind Clinton in Ohio
Politico: Trump looks into the polling abyss
STAT News: In Trump’s America, towns in poor health don’t think he will save them
Real Clear Politics: Trump TV Ad: Trump’s America

Featured and Top Images Courtesy of ABC|Disney – Used With Permission