Reports from Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that Rafael has strengthened to maximum sustained winds now nearing 75 mph. This makes Rafael the ninth Hurricane of the 2012 Atlantic season.

This report was sourced from NWS National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida; and is a Hurricane Rafael Tropical Cyclone update.

Hurricane Rafael
6:45 p.m. update -Rafael becomes a hurricane.

Reports from Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that Rafael has strengthened, and its maximum sustained winds are now near 75 mph. This makes Rafael the 9th hurricane of the 2012 Atlantic season.

5 p.m. – Rafael turns northward. NOAA and U.S. Air Force aircraft en route to the storm.
Watches and Warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

– Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

Discussion and 48-hour Outlook

At 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Rafael was located near latitude 24.1 north, longitude 65.8 west.

Rafael is moving toward the north near 10 mph. A northward motion with some increas in forward speed is expected tonight. A turn toward the northeast, with an additional increase in forward speed, is expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Rafael will pass near or to the east of Bermuda late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph, with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and Rafael is forecast to become a hurricane later tonight or on Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb, or 29.09 inches..
Hazards Affecting Land

Rainfall: Rafael is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches over the northern Leeward Islands with isolated storm totals of 12 inches possible. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. Rafael is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across Bermuda.

Wind: Tropical storm force winds are expected in Bermuda by Tuesday afternoon or evening.

Surf: Swells generated by Rafael will continue to affect the eastern-facing beaches of the Bahamas, Bermuda and portions of the United States East Coast during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Next Advisory

Complete advisory: 8 p.m.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.